Will the Fed cut rates in December 2026?
65%Yes
35%No
$0.28 on Kalshi
The hook
Right again.
Paid pennies again.
Turn an idea into a real stock or options trade.
+214%
$6.30 per contract
Sample figures throughout, drawn to show the interface. Not quotes, not results, and not our view of what will happen.
Trending events
We give you the latest trending events on prediction markets.
Choose an event on Kalshi or Polymarket.
Will the Fed cut rates in December 2026?
65%Yes
35%No
+12%
Will oil be above $80 on Dec 31, 2026?
72%Yes
28%No
+28%
Odds belong to the venue that quotes them. We show them; we never state odds of our own.
Your idea
Start with an idea you already have.
We give you the latest popular ideas posted to list.
What do you think will happen?
e.g. oil is going up from here within 2 weeks
Or pick a popular idea…
- Prices and rates e.g. the Fed cuts rates by 1%
- War and geopolitics e.g. Russia and Ukraine sign a peace deal
- Politics and policy e.g. Democrats win both houses
- The economy e.g. we are heading into a very cold winter
Map to markets
One idea can move more than one market.
We find the stocks, ETFs and options most exposed to your idea.
Oil is going up from here within 2 weeks.
72% Yes
- USO ETFOil
- XOM StockExxon Mobil
- OXY StockOccidental
- CLCrude Oil
- XLE ETFEnergy Sector
- OptionsCalls & Puts
Example tickers, and odds quoted by the venue rather than by us. Which markets an idea actually reaches is worked out when you run it.
Price & filter
We search broadly, reject weak trades, and keep the best ways in.
- AAPL Call Spread Oct 16 ’26 180 / 190 Too expensive
- TSLA Put Spread Nov 20 ’26 200 / 190 Poor fit
- NVDA Call Spread Oct 23 ’26 140 / 150 Too illiquid
- Max loss
- $420
- Potential gain
- $1,380
- Reward / risk
- 3.3x
Worked from real option prices when you run it. Sample numbers here, and no order is ever placed on your behalf.
Discipline & record
Every idea leaves a record.
Track your ideas, outcomes, and trade performance over time.
- Dec 10, 2025 Fed cuts rates Win+184%
- Nov 18, 2025 Oil above $80 Win+62%
- Oct 6, 2025 NVDA earnings Loss-100%
- Sep 12, 2025 Tariffs on China Win+91%
- Aug 5, 2025 Gold above $2,500 Loss-72%
A sample record. The losses stay on it — that is the point of keeping one.
Start free
You bring the idea.
We build the trade.
Turn your prediction-market ideas into real opportunities.
Get Early AccessPrediction markets • real trades • your record
The trade on the screen is a sample, and so is every figure on this page.
How it works
Four steps, and none of them is a prediction.
- Say what you think. In your own words, or start from an event trending on Kalshi or Polymarket.
- We find the best ways to trade it. The stocks, ETFs and options that move most with what you said — often not the obvious ones.
- We price the ways in. Against the same amount of money, side by side: what you make if you are right, what it costs if you are wrong, and how far the price has to move before you make anything at all.
- You place it, we write it down. Nothing is ever sent to a broker. Months later that record is how you find out whether you were actually right.
We don't forecast. We won't tell you the odds your idea comes true, because nobody knows that. Where a real market prices the same question we show you its number next to yours — and where there is no sensible way to trade what you have said, we tell you that instead of inventing one.
Pricing
Start free.
We're inviting people to use the app for free while we launch. Join the waitlist and we'll let you know when your turn comes round.
No card, and nothing to cancel.
Questions
The things people ask first.
Do you place trades for me?
No. Nothing is ever sent to a broker and no order is placed on your behalf. You place it yourself, and we keep the record of what you decided.
Do you tell me what is going to happen?
No, and we will not pretend to. We show the odds the prediction market is quoting, what the options market is charging, and what each way in pays if you turn out to be right.
Why can't I just use my own chat?
You can, and it will give you an opinion. What it cannot give you is a price. It does not know what the options market is charging for your idea this morning, what Kalshi or Polymarket are quoting on the event behind it, or what each way in actually pays if you turn out to be right — those are live numbers, not something a model knows from memory.
And a chat keeps no record. It scrolls away, so there is nothing to look back at in six months when the only question that matters is whether you were right. None of that is a forecast. It is a price, and a record of what you decided.
Do I need to understand options?
No. Every trade is shown as what it costs, what you make if you are right, and what you lose if you are wrong — in money, not in greeks.
Where do the events come from?
Kalshi and Polymarket, named and linked. An idea with no event behind it is a normal thing to have, and we never invent one to fill the slot.
What happens to an idea that loses?
It stays on your record with everything else. A record you can edit is not a record.
You bring the idea. We build the trade.
Get early access, or keep an eye on it — what shipped, what we got wrong, and what is next. No more than once a week.